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How to Spot if a Horse is a False Favourite in Three Ways

Date: 12/06/2022

If you've already had some experience betting on horse races, then there's a good chance you're familiar with the phrase "false favourite." This refers to a horse that is expected to win but really has a lower chance of doing so. It's a phrase that's used pretty often, particularly when discussing different techniques and different kinds of systems. If you want to make money betting on horse races, one of the most important skills you need to have is the ability to spot a false favourite. Once you have spotted the false favourite within the race, you will see that the odds for the other horses are generous. Also, the fantastic thing about wagering on horse races online at is the fact that you will receive enhanced odds, bonuses and much more. Nevertheless, in this article, we will be exploring three ways how you can identify the false favourite in a horse race.

If the Horse's Strike Rate is Low

We are going to make the assumption that you are familiar with the location of the strike rates since you already know how to place bets on horse racing online. If you've done any horse betting, you've probably observed that many horses don't have very good strike rates.

Examining the strike is almost always a foolproof method for finding false favourites in a betting pool. This statistic often provides insight into a horse's racing tendencies, the pace of recovery, and overall quality as a racehorse.

If you see that the horse is being promoted as the favourite, but you also notice that it has a poor strike rate, you may safely believe that the horse is a false favourite. This is not even to mention the fact that horses with a lot of strike rate often have higher odds in an effort for bookmakers to attract activity on the horse even if it has a high strike rate.

Never Forget about Researching the Jockeys

The jockeys are another important factor in determining the winner of a race. This indicates that while attempting to detect fake favourites, you shouldn't only focus on the horses.

Even if the horse possesses all the elements necessary to win, a red flag should be raised if the rider has never competed in the race before or if this is the jockey's first time working with this particular horse. Having said that, you should also consider the jockey's win percentage while making your decision. Because of this, the horse's strike rate may suffer as a direct consequence of the jockey's poor performance.

If the Horse Has High Expectations and Hype

There is no exaggeration involved when discussing the influence of the media. The vast majority of the time, it is capable of exerting a significant amount of influence on the people, which in turn dictates shifts in line.

An excellent illustration of this is when a well-known horse achieves a decisive victory in the most recent race it competed in. After then, the media would exaggerate the significance of this train by claiming that the horse has latent abilities that have the possibility of being realised at a future event.

After then, some individuals will use this knowledge in horse racing betting, which is something that many people watch, and then the general public will decide what to do next. If you believe that the excitement around the horse is unwarranted and that expectations for the horse's future performance are exaggerated, then it's possible that you were seeing a false favourite.

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