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Afleet Alex, who was 3rd in the 2005 Kentucky Derby, is the only top 3 finisher in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile to place in the Derby since 1999.
There has been much made of the Kentucky Derby jinx apparently attached to winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, but only for the winners. I decided it would be interesting to take a look at the stats for the top three finishers and how they did in the Kentucky Derby. Sad to say, the jinx seems to apply there too, although not as strongly as to the winner. Only two horses who finished in the top three in the Juvenile have gone on to win the Kentucky Derby: Spend A Buck (3rd in 1984) and Alysheba (3rd in 1986). Since then it has been a very long dry spell.
The best a Juvenile winner has managed is 3rd in the Kentucky Derby: Timber Country in 1994 and Chief's Crown in 1984. Of the 66 horses who have finished first, second, or third in the Juvenile between 1984 and 2005, 34 have failed to even start in the Derby and only nine have managed to finish at least third. Timber Country, winner of the Juvenile in 1994, is the only winner to go onto win a Triple Crown race, the 1995 Preakness.
Here is a chart listing all the horses who have finished in the top three in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile with the Kentucky Derby placings. I have also included notes for those who won the Preakness or Belmont. Overall, I would say be very wary of any horses coming out of that race unless they are truly exceptional.
|2006||Street Sense||Circular Quay||Great Hunter|
|2005||Stevie Wonderboy||Henny Hughes||First Samurai|
|2004||Wilko||Afleet Alex||Sun King||Afleet Alex won the Preakness and Belmont|
|2003||Action This Day||Minister Eric||Chapel Royal|
|2002||Vindication||Kafwain||Hold That Tiger|
|2000||Macho Uno||Point Given||Street Cry||Point Given won the Preakness and Belmont|
|1999||Anees||Chief Seattle||High Yield|
|1998||Answer Lively||Aly's Alley||Cat Thief|
|1997||Favorite Trick||Dawson's Legacy||Nationalore|
|1995||Unbridled's Song||Hennessy||Editor's Note||Editor's Note won the Belmont|
|1994||Timber Country||Eltish||Tejano Run||Timber Country won the Preakness|
|1993||Brocco||Blumin Affair||Tabasco Cat||Tabasco Cat won the Preakness and Belmont|
|1992||Gilded Time||It'sali'lknownfact||River Special|
|1990||Fly So Free||Take Me Out||Lost Mountain|
|1988||Is It True||Easy Goer||Tagel||Easy Goer was 2nd in the Preakness and won the Belmont|
|1987||Success Express||Regal Classic||Tejano|
|1986||Capote||Qualify||Alysheba||Alysheba won the Preakness and was 4th in the Belmont|
|1985||Tasso||Storm Cat||Scat Dancer|
|1984||Chief's Crown||Tank's Prospect||Spend A Buck||Tank's Prospect won the Preakness|
Triple Crown Index
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